12-Month Cash Flow Forecast Explained

What is a 12-Month Cash Forecast?

A 12-month cash flow forecast is a financial tool businesses use to project their cash inflows and outflows over the course of a year (ie,how high its income and expenses during the year).This forecast helps companies anticipate future cash movements, reduce financial risks and create financial long term financial plans. 

For example, a 12-month rolling forecast could be January through December 2025. When January 2026’s results are finalized, you could replace it with January 2027. The forecast encompasses 12 months, but slides forward every month.

Why is a 12-month cash forecast important for businesses?

While shorter time frames such as a 13-week cash flow forecast or monthly updates provide valuable short term insights, a 12-month cash flow forecast provides a comprehensive view that can bolster long-term strategic planning. A 12-month forecast leaves room for seasonal fluctuations in cash inflows and outflows. Understanding these patterns allows you to strategically allocate resources, prepare for potential downswings, and capitalize on peak periods.

A year-long forecast also provides the extended visibility needed for informed capital expenditure planning and investment decisions. It gives your business the foresight to align funding strategies with projected cash availability, supporting sustainable growth and expansion.  Over a 12-month horizon, companies can predict and mitigate cash shortages, enabling operational agility and financial stability. This is especially important for companies looking at longer term, large financial events, such as mergers, acquisitions or raising capital.

How does a 12-month cash flow forecast work?

Creating a 12-month cash flow forecast is actually pretty simple; Businesses must compare the expected income with the expected expenditure for each month. Then, they’ll subtract the expenses from the income, showing whether the expenses exceeds the income or if the month ended in a surplus or deficit.

In order to make those calculations, you must gather historical data (e.g. all revenue and expenses). To make these types of forecasts more accurate, companies may pull their ERP data from the last year.

Revenue might include:

• Customer payments
• Cash sales
• Subsidies and other funding
• Tax refunds 
• Income from financial investments
• Income from licenses or patents 

Expenditures might include:

• Employee salaries
• Rent for office spaces, warehouses, and/or production halls
• Supplier payments
• Software license fees 
• Operating costs such as water, electricity, internet, and so on
• Insurances 
• Marketing costs

Typically 12-month forecasts—which include rolling updates— segment revenue and expenses into three primary components: operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.

Operating Activities

• Revenues: Sales revenue, service income, accounts receivable collections
• Expenses: Salaries and wages, rent, utility bills, supplies, and accounts payable disbursements

Investing Activities

• Revenues: Sale of fixed assets, dividends from investments
• Expenses: Purchase of equipment, investment in securities, capital expenditures

Financing Activities

• Revenues: Proceeds from loans, issuance of shares or bonds
• Expenses: Loan repayments, dividend payments, share buybacks

All three components show businesses where cash originates from and how it is utilized. A rolling 12-month forecast gives a  continuous and forward-looking view of their cash dynamics, a vital part of strategic planning and financial stability.

Three tips for creating a 12 month forecast

1. Remember the company’s mission: Rolling forecasts tend to be more successful when it’s aligned to the company’s objectives and goals.
2. Invest in the right tools: spreadsheets passed from department to department could lead to disjointed and error-prone documentation. Consider a flexible forecasting software that will increase accuracy and save resources.
3. Adjust forecasts as necessary: Revisit the forecast and compare it to actual results so you can make adjustments.

How often should a cash flow forecast be updated?

Regularly updating cash flow forecasts is crucial for effective financial management. Ideally, businesses should update cash flow forecasts monthly, or even weekly to reflect the most up-to-date financial data and to accommodate any changes in market conditions or business operations. 

To control liquidity and accurately forecast, especially in uncertain economic periods, companies may even want to create several versions of their forecast. This means that they are able to compare scenarios, and accurately run scenario planning. 

This practice helps identify potential liquidity issues early so businesses can proactively  make informed financial decisions. Regular forecast updates not only track business performance, but also ensure that strategic plans align with current financial realities.

For example, if businesses see unplanned or unexplained discrepancies between forecasted and actual cash flows, they can correct them to maintain accuracy.

An Easier Way to Build 12-Month Forecasts

A 12-month cash flow forecast provides critical insight into a business’s financial health during a significant period of time, which provides enough data to better prepare for uncertainties and exercise  strategic decision-making.

Though Excel can create 12-month forecasts, the process is very manual, time-consuming and prone to human errors. Excel also doesn’t make it easy for teams to collaborate, to grant permissions to different people in different teams, or to easily share reporting. 

Panax offers an AI-driven cash management platform for lean finance teams with complex treasury needs. Panax's automation and AI makes categorizing transactions easier and quicker, and creates fuller data for forecasting. Panax offers weekly, monthly and long term forecasts based on ERP data and AI algorithms, offering flexibility to pull the relevant data into your forecast, and update it with ease. All together it makes it easy to forecast for your company, so you can optimize liquidity and work more efficiently.

Want to learn more about how Panax’s flexible forecasting can help you and your team work better? Get a demo today‍